SPY Buy At 100% Fibonacci Retracement Level

  • Creator
    Topic
  • #197627 Reply
    Christian Harris
    Participant

      Here’s a SPY trade I’m currently in to demonstrate a trade setup using one of my favourite technical analysis tools, Fibonacci retracement.

      Trade Setup

      • 4-hour timeframe for a swing trade
      • Fibonacci retracement level hit 100% level ($590.50), which is a complete reversal of the original price before the move
      • SPY is in an uptrend, so I entered a long (buy) position
      • I set my take profit at a key Fibonacci level ($601.87)
      • I set my stop loss at a key Fibonacci level ($576.45)
      • I am risking 14.05 points (-2.38%) to make 11.37 points (+1.93%)

      Advanced Risk Management

      • I could adjust my stop-loss as the trade moves in my favour

      Alternative Trade Setup

      • I could have entered multiple long positions to target multiple Fibonacci levels, but this would have increased my risk. As a conservative trader, I prefer to enter only one position per price level in case my analysis is wrong.

      Disclaimer: This example is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional. The information discussed here is personal to the author and may not be suitable for all traders.

      Reply
    Viewing 1 reply thread
    • Author
      Replies
      • #197654 Reply
        Ollie

          Hey, great to see a trade mapped out and the thinking behind it.

          Besides Fibonacci, did you use any confluence factors (I’m thinking volume, moving averages, RSI) to confirm your entry?

          I just set up a TradingView subscription – loving it!

          Reply
          • #197669 Reply
            Christian Harris
            Participant

              Although I greatly value RSI, this is an example of a Fibonacci retracement trade, so I didn’t use any other confluence.

              I like to keep my charts as simple as possible to avoid analysis paralysis.

              Reply
          • #197653 Reply
            Janus

              How do you decide when to adjust your stop loss? Do you use a trailing stop or wait for a key price action signal?

              Reply
              • #197670 Reply
                Christian Harris
                Participant

                  I don’t adjust my SL. I let the trade play out. Why? Because the Nasdaq-100 can have crazy pre-market moves that can easily hit an SL.

                  However, if you wanted to use an SL, you could:

                  • Use a trailing stop
                  • Move your SL to the bottom of a candle/wick on a daily chart (after the close of the US session).
                  Reply
            Viewing 1 reply thread

            Reply To: SPY Buy At 100% Fibonacci Retracement Level
            Your information: